Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008543 0.009630 0.010821 0.012227 0.013846 0.015656 0.017838
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006894 0.008379 0.010153 0.012443 0.015341 0.018914 0.023693
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005906 0.007536 0.009596 0.012419 0.016229 0.021254 0.028490
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005023 0.006653 0.008804 0.011890 0.016273 0.022379 0.031710
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004503 0.006161 0.008433 0.011831 0.016881 0.024269 0.036199
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004274 0.006029 0.008521 0.012397 0.018419 0.027662 0.043423
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003811 0.005507 0.007984 0.011960 0.018359 0.028574 0.046791
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003452 0.005098 0.007568 0.011647 0.018433 0.029673 0.050591
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003218 0.004856 0.007375 0.011657 0.019017 0.031664 0.056235
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003122 0.004816 0.007491 0.012176 0.020510 0.035398 0.065692
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002914 0.004579 0.007264 0.012085 0.020912 0.037210 0.071705
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002768 0.004427 0.007162 0.012195 0.021681 0.039791 0.079694
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002561 0.004166 0.006866 0.011950 0.021800 0.041211 0.085678
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002449 0.004057 0.006823 0.012170 0.022849 0.044666 0.096901
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002310 0.003890 0.006663 0.012146 0.023405 0.047165 0.106406
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002115 0.003608 0.006269 0.011630 0.022886 0.047273 0.110124
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002000 0.003463 0.006116 0.011572 0.023321 0.049556 0.119799
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001974 0.003476 0.006258 0.012125 0.025146 0.055299 0.139886
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001830 0.003259 0.005944 0.011698 0.024731 0.055660 0.145213
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001712 0.003084 0.005698 0.011393 0.024559 0.056592 0.152401
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001639 0.002989 0.005602 0.011403 0.025125 0.059467 0.166066
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001622 0.003003 0.005726 0.011909 0.026948 0.065905 0.192490
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001546 0.002896 0.005592 0.011820 0.027290 0.068425 0.206854